Báo Cáo Nhận Định Thị Trường Phái Sinh Phiên Ngày 3/4

Dear all, xin gửi các anh chị báo cáo nhận định phiên giao dịch ngày 3/4

 

Ngày đáo hạn

Số ngày tới hạn

KLGD (HĐ)

KL mở (OI)

Giá mở cửa

Giá cao nhất

Giá thấp nhất

Giá đóng cửa

+/-

Giá lý thuyết tham khảo

Chênh lệch

VN30

 

 

 

 

1,171.89

1,173.18

1,156.91

1,160.97

-10.24

 

 

VN30F1804

4/19/2018

15

15,942

7,118

1,161.2

1,163.0

1,156.5

1,162.6

0.6

1,161.4

-1.2

VN30F1805

5/17/2018

43

382

474

1,168.7

1,169.8

1,164.0

1,169.5

0.5

1,162.1

-7.4

VN30F1806

6/21/2018

78

184

835

1,172.0

1,175.7

1,168.0

1,175.0

4.0

1,163.1

-11.9

VN30F1809

9/20/2018

169

113

658

1,189.0

1,193.0

1,188.6

1,191.0

-1.6

1,165.5

-25.5

Tổng cộng

 

 

16,621

9,085

Tổng GTGD

1,929.6

(tỷ đồng)

 

 

 

 

 

NHẬN ĐỊNH THỊ TRƯỜNG

TTPS và TTCK cơ sở đóng cửa trái chiều

TTCK Mỹ mất điểm đêm qua cùng nỗi lo chiến tranh thương mại Mỹ – Trung trở lại đã tác động đến TTCK Việt Nam từ đầu phiên, áp lực bán tăng dần về cuối phiên lên các cổ phiếu như VNM, GAS, SAB, ROS khiến VN-Index và VN30-Index mất lần lượt 8.32 điểm (-0.7%) và 10.24 điểm (-0.87%). Chiều ngược lại có NVL, MBB tăng mạnh cùng nhóm chứng khoán tuy nhiên không bù đắp được sự sụt giảm. Lực bán từ khối ngoại cũng góp phần tạo sức ép lên giá cổ phiếu, điển hình ở VNM, HPG và VIC.

Trong khi đó, diễn biến TTPS có phần tích cực hơn khi giá các HĐTL duy trì và đóng cửa trong sắc xanh, chỉ có F1809 giảm 1,6 điểm. Chỉ số cơ sở quay trở lại mức thấp hơn so với giá các HĐTL sau 10 phiên liên tiếp (basic dương trở lại).

KLGD giảm còn 16.621 HĐ (-6,7%), tương đương 1.929,6 tỷ đồng. Ngược lại, khối lượng mở tăng lên đạt 9.085 HĐ.

 

DỰ BÁO XU HƯỚNG VN30-INDEX

CHỈ BÁO NGẮN HẠN

CHỈ BÁO XU HƯỚNG VÀ TRUNG HẠN

Stochastic

TRUNG TÍNH

RSI

TRUNG TÍNH

Volume

TRUNG TÍNH

ADX

TRUNG TÍNH

MFI

TIÊU CỰC

MACD

TÍCH CỰC

MA Ngắn hạn

TÍCH CỰC

MA Trung hạn

TÍCH CỰC

Trend Ngắn hạn

TÍCH CỰC

Trend Trung hạn

TÍCH CỰC (NẮM GIỮ)

 

Hỗ trợ ngắn hạn:

1145-1157

Kháng cự ngắn hạn:

1168-1179

 

Chỉ số VN30 có một phiên giảm sau phiên tăng điểm mạnh tạo kỷ lục mới vào ngày hôm qua. KLGD tăng 12.74% so với phiên trước là một tín hiệu không tích cực. Mức thấp nhất trong phiên giao dịch ở 1157 điểm sẽ trở thành mốc hỗ trợ quan trong cho phiên giao dịch kế tiếp và nhiều khả năng chỉ số VN30 sẽ kiểm lại mức này.

CHIẾN LƯỢC ĐẦU TƯ

Vị thế MUA ngắn hạn                              

Vị thế Mua: VN30 vận động trên mốc 1157 điểm

Đóng vị thế: Quanh 1168 – 1179 điểm hoặc đạt mức lợi nhuận kỳ vọng

Stoploss: VN30 bẻ gãy trở lại mốc 1157 điểm

 

Vị thế BÁN ngắn hạn 

Vị thế bán: VN30  phá vỡ hỗ trợ 1157 điểm

Đóng vị thế: Quanh 1137-1145  điểm hoặc đạt mức lợi nhuận kỳ vọng

Stoploss: VN30 vận động trở lại lên trên 1157 điểm

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